tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-652377080594581288.post4213969620251688069..comments2023-10-18T23:08:31.910-04:00Comments on The Bat Shatters: Front Office MediocrityAdam Kruegerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12460938738580518447noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-652377080594581288.post-28113476708495138512011-02-11T11:27:47.168-05:002011-02-11T11:27:47.168-05:00Disappointing as it is you can't say it's ...Disappointing as it is you can't say it's surprising though...Matt Larsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10684567412348454535noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-652377080594581288.post-31118052475739209372011-02-10T15:27:34.630-05:002011-02-10T15:27:34.630-05:00I re-read my comment, didn't mean to come off ...I re-read my comment, didn't mean to come off too strongly.<br /><br />I'm not arguing that the Twins should rely on statistics alone, I think that would be stupid. But to ignore it as an additional tool in evaluating talent is equally stupid. I don't know the advanced stats at an expert level, but there are people out there who do and the Twins should at least have people like that around (and use them).Adam Kruegerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12460938738580518447noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-652377080594581288.post-8409221086371385232011-02-10T15:19:42.147-05:002011-02-10T15:19:42.147-05:00Couldn't disagree more. Just because a team ha...Couldn't disagree more. Just because a team has had success, doesn't mean that success will continue, and the recent moves Smith & Co. have made have become more & more baffling.<br /><br />And your assertion, that fielding outs don't even out, is somewhat misguided, because over the course of 150-200 innings (450-600 outs) you'd be hard pressed to find statistically significant differences between one pitchers outs vs. anothers...so it essentially does even itself out.<br /><br />You can go ahead and believe that BABIP, UZR etc are fan stats, but most major league ballclubs already have people who analyze this stuff on a daily basis. As I noted in my piece, I still think scouts are valuable, especially in terms of evaluating talent in a draft. However, when it comes to major league talent, making trades, and signing free-agents, those "fan stats" come into play in a lot more tangible ways.Adam Kruegerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12460938738580518447noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-652377080594581288.post-27192794544397202992011-02-10T13:42:34.347-05:002011-02-10T13:42:34.347-05:00Given the Twins success, maybe we should be worrie...Given the Twins success, maybe we should be worried that they are going to start spending time and money staring at spreadsheets instead of watching players play the game. You absolutely should ignore FIP, xFIP, BABIP, UZR, UZR-150 and WAR. Those are all fan stats that have no use in player evaluation. <br /><br />Take FIP, "fielding independent pitching". It uses the number of outs, including those from the fielders, as its denominator. Apparently all outs are "fielding independent"? Well no, but the claim, I guess, is that fielding outs all even out over 162 games. Except they don't, which is why FIP was created in the first place.TThttp://grannybaseball.blogspot.comnoreply@blogger.com