tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-652377080594581288.post2745803317068764278..comments2023-10-18T23:08:31.910-04:00Comments on The Bat Shatters: 2010 Year in Preview: AL Central Wrap UpAdam Kruegerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12460938738580518447noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-652377080594581288.post-69666703288246788362010-03-17T11:41:49.759-04:002010-03-17T11:41:49.759-04:00Forget about the Tigers hate, what about the India...Forget about the Tigers hate, what about the Indians love with CHONE? I can't see Cleveland coming anywhere close to contending - they certainly didn't make 14 wins of improvements to a 67 win team last year outside of a Santana call-up.Matt Larsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10684567412348454535noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-652377080594581288.post-3168878180510384762010-03-15T14:50:48.704-04:002010-03-15T14:50:48.704-04:00If a poll in 2008 showed Obama at 40%, McCain at 3...If a poll in 2008 showed Obama at 40%, McCain at 35% and a Green Party candidate at 25%, we'd rightly wonder what was wrong with the poll. This is another manifestation of how out of whack PECOTA is in 2010. <br /><br />That said, I see tons of problems in Detroit in 2010. Everyone but Verlander and Miguel Cabrera gives me pause. And CHONE hates Porcello, IIRC.(sic)https://www.blogger.com/profile/00232618356606130981noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-652377080594581288.post-76042242682427521232010-03-15T14:40:42.876-04:002010-03-15T14:40:42.876-04:00I'm just saying, if a poll has two cool dudes ...I'm just saying, if a poll has two cool dudes polling at 50% and 49% with a margin of error of ±5, you aren't going to say the poll is predicting the former cool dude to win. <br /><br />That's just not how these types of numbers should be read.adamnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-652377080594581288.post-3923358263535235822010-03-15T14:31:58.477-04:002010-03-15T14:31:58.477-04:00No one asked you to be fair to PECOTA. Also, it&#...No one asked you to be fair to PECOTA. Also, it's March 15. PECOTA is responsible for itself now. If it can't make predictions two weeks out from the season, then it should disband itself.(sic)https://www.blogger.com/profile/00232618356606130981noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-652377080594581288.post-6686894131956032022010-03-15T14:06:02.575-04:002010-03-15T14:06:02.575-04:00To be fair to PECOTA, all you can really say is th...To be fair to PECOTA, all you can really say is that they are predicting is Royals last. You can't really say they are predicting White Sox 1st or Indians 3rd. It's way too close for that.<br /><br />I like CHONE's for AL Central -<br /><br />By depth chart-<br />Minnesota Twins 85 77<br />Cleveland Indians 81 81<br />Chicago White Sox 79 83<br />Kansas City Royals 76 86<br />Detroit Tigers 76 86<br /><br />By starting lineup-<br />Minnesota Twins 86 76<br />Cleveland Indians 82 80<br />Chicago White Sox 81 81<br />Detroit Tigers 74 88<br />Kansas City Royals 73 89<br /><br />Not really sure what to make of the Detroit hate though.adamnoreply@blogger.com